The Performance of Gold and Oil
I wanted to talk about Gold, Oil and their price going forward.
I wrote back in May 2024 about moving a sizable chunk of my networth into Gold and Silver. I bought both in physical and via the stock market.
The main thesis was that the following will push Gold up over the next 2 decades:
The looming and predictable bankers wars
Central Banks have been buying hand over fist
The Fiat system is coming to the end
Commodities have been underpriced for a long period of time
This is the price chart for the last few years.
Here are the stocks I bought back at the end of 2024. I was buying pyhsical before that point.
Gold/Silver
Oil
Oil stocks haven’t moved much.
To be a good investor you need to be right on two things at the same time.
The right idea
The right time - not too early, not too late
Then once you are in a position, work towards increasing conviction (or disproving it).
Now comparing that statement to WTI Crude, you can see that I acted too early. We really want to be able to confirm a change in direction before executing that transaction.
I believe Oil is still a logical place to invest as wars require fossil fuels. I don’t know for sure which war that would be first, but there are so many that could spark. Israel vs Iran, Europe vs Russia, China Vs Taiwain & USA.
Long Term
I would be happy to hold Gold and Gold Stocks for another 1-2 decades and still feel this is a good point to accumulate.