Fear of Missing Out has been the largest killer of money I have ever experienced.
I felt it just now.
What was I feeling it about? The S&P 500 - I felt that I hadn’t put enough into the S&P500 or that I haven’t been in it long enough.
I’ve seriously lost high six figures from Fear of Missing Out. It’s been a great lesson - but an expensive one.
Fear of Missing Out is that feeling when it looks like everyone is getting ahead and you are stationary or going backwards. You see what they are doing and rush to copy what they are doing without any feel or conviction as to why they are doing it. Sure you may have intuition as to what they are feeling, but you rush in nonetheless.
Fear Of Missing Out has been so destructive financially from my experience its almost like a composite of two other Financial Killers.
Fear
Greed
Fear of being left behind. Greed and lusting for those mooning rewards.
In fact I am so aware of FOMO that it is the number one item on my list of rules for investing that I check before making a purchase. Never FOMO.
Screenshot of my rule set 😄
Looksee - 28% in 1 year. Your lizard brain sees that and immediately projects the next year at 28% and the next year.
Taking a step back and looking at my beliefs and overlaying the S&P 500’s progress against my beliefs:
Diversification isn’t just holding a broad index of US stocks
The US won’t be the star of the show in the future - competition is coming in
Shares on the stock market are the most “tokenized” and liquid from a ledger point of view
Historic performance isn’t an indicator of future performance
We are closing in on the end of the Long Term Debt Cycle for the US
War/Conflict is also on the horizon
In summary -
Avoid FOMO at all costs
Never buy something based on FOMO. It will come back and kick your ass.
I was shocked when I took a marketing course and learned that engendering FOMO is a flagrant practice to get people to compulsively purchase something. That education made me aware of this ubiquitous manipulative tactic, further motivating me to rebelliously live a simple life.
When I first got into buying silver back in 2011, I FOMO'D hard, buying with conviction all the way up from $20 to $45. Then it crashed to below $20 and I realized how dangerous FOMO is.
Ever since, I've followed some very simple rules to avoid FOMO.
For gold and silver:
Buy when everyone is selling.
Hold when everyone is buying.
Sell when it's the apocalypse.